Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.174224 10.796167 12.583015 14.692329 17.108717 19.784700 22.966664
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.706219 8.788187 11.299786 14.531430 18.555554 23.375904 29.558794
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.298025 7.612113 10.626220 14.791155 20.340446 27.416161 37.045949
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.246951 6.624842 9.939099 14.811352 21.688957 30.930841 44.141646
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.486185 5.859594 9.375174 14.834536 22.938872 34.332131 51.312519
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.778756 5.019927 8.538692 14.293034 23.245312 36.364376 56.674465
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.344723 4.522189 8.124538 14.292065 24.289531 39.477321 63.770407
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.994619 4.094556 7.744720 14.267695 25.250380 42.493703 70.904241
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.836517 3.978469 7.862584 15.060146 27.570639 47.758324 81.844163
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.676256 3.826684 7.888940 15.682749 29.645215 52.765062 92.706540
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.548251 3.714131 7.965771 16.391058 31.911855 58.227622 104.650042
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.353521 3.425916 7.665334 16.360622 32.857681 61.531628 113.227961
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.115286 3.001649 7.045417 15.666591 32.568744 62.764342 118.523442
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.927916 2.654155 6.528900 15.106618 32.464236 64.298764 124.438432
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.822230 2.481183 6.357275 15.221508 33.651683 68.216946 134.785398
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.720255 2.295297 6.127566 15.181734 34.520975 71.600638 144.376711
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.634804 2.134194 5.929187 15.181561 35.460814 75.168360 154.512768
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.530659 1.895318 5.505426 14.619725 35.172731 76.353152 160.265275
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.469122 1.766772 5.334045 14.615138 36.059470 79.874272 170.642842
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.414537 1.646168 5.163374 14.588860 36.890284 83.330099 181.087591
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.399376 1.650515 5.326589 15.396440 39.643748 90.844951 199.893929
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.378158 1.629585 5.417175 16.031060 42.054083 97.797282 217.949561
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.361127 1.619597 5.537163 16.753139 44.722255 105.441071 237.785831